Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.036916 0.043114 0.049936 0.057990 0.067223 0.077463 0.089668
2025-06-22 0.027475 0.035510 0.045184 0.057634 0.073174 0.091866 0.115982
2025-06-29 0.020662 0.029230 0.040397 0.055895 0.076704 0.103517 0.140491
2025-07-06 0.016244 0.024924 0.037062 0.055065 0.080822 0.116032 0.167413
2025-07-13 0.014090 0.023211 0.036776 0.058076 0.090247 0.136471 0.207192
2025-07-20 0.012205 0.021470 0.036045 0.060152 0.098376 0.155795 0.247401
2025-07-27 0.010024 0.018797 0.033375 0.058717 0.100805 0.166740 0.276148
2025-08-03 0.008455 0.016832 0.031473 0.058122 0.104293 0.179433 0.308607
2025-08-10 0.007002 0.014780 0.029059 0.056226 0.105246 0.187963 0.335007
2025-08-17 0.005891 0.013148 0.027111 0.054809 0.106719 0.197314 0.363427
2025-08-24 0.005144 0.012094 0.026056 0.054837 0.110677 0.211155 0.400612
2025-08-31 0.004368 0.010823 0.024369 0.053384 0.111648 0.219701 0.429114
2025-09-07 0.004066 0.010558 0.024717 0.056087 0.121006 0.244606 0.489926
2025-09-14 0.003569 0.009748 0.023791 0.056043 0.124946 0.259809 0.534252
2025-09-21 0.003037 0.008740 0.022265 0.054493 0.125616 0.268782 0.567552
2025-09-28 0.002639 0.007983 0.021183 0.053754 0.127864 0.281010 0.608211
2025-10-05 0.002507 0.007909 0.021704 0.056738 0.138471 0.311025 0.686802
2025-10-12 0.002335 0.007686 0.021825 0.058789 0.147221 0.337962 0.761334
2025-10-19 0.002019 0.006976 0.020596 0.057393 0.147960 0.348067 0.801811
2025-10-26 0.001781 0.006447 0.019747 0.056815 0.150516 0.362264 0.852047
2025-11-02 0.001526 0.005803 0.018476 0.054961 0.149780 0.369108 0.886939
2025-11-09 0.001323 0.005277 0.017441 0.053574 0.150006 0.378083 0.927179
2025-11-16 0.001190 0.004958 0.016952 0.053602 0.153780 0.395485 0.987618